Obama versus McCain using polls from 27-Feb-08 to 27-Oct-08


Alabama

9 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (28 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (99972 wins ). 2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Capital Survey 15-Oct-08 16-Oct-08 606 4.0 34.0 54.0 M+20.0


Alaska

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 3.6% wins (3613 wins ), McCain: 96.4% wins (96387 wins ). 2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Ivan Moore 17-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 500 4.4 42.0 53.0 M+11.0


Arizona

10 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 4.0% wins (3996 wins ), McCain: 96.0% wins (96004 wins ). 2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 500 4.5 46.0 51.0 M+5.0
Grove Insight 23-Oct-08 25-Oct-08 600 4.0 40.0 44.0 M+4.0
N. Arizona U. 18-Oct-08 27-Oct-08 600 4.0 41.0 49.0 M+8.0
Zimmerman 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 408 4.9 42.0 44.0 M+2.0


Arkansas

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 2.4% wins (2431 wins ), McCain: 97.6% wins (97569 wins ). 2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 41.0 52.0 M+11.0


California

55 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 25-Oct-08 25-Oct-08 500 4.5 61.0 34.0 O+27.0


Colorado

9 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 99.0% wins (99049 wins ), McCain: 1.0% wins (951 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Rocky Mountian Poll 21-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 500 4.4 52.0 40.0 O+12.0
PollPosition 20-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 576 4.0 51.0 46.0 O+5.0
Rasmussen 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1000 3.0 51.0 46.0 O+5.0


Connecticut

7 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
U. Conn. 18-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 502 4.4 56.0 31.0 O+25.0


Delaware

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.2% wins (99186 wins ), McCain: 0.8% wins (814 wins ). 2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 10-Oct-08 10-Oct-08 500 4.5 56.0 41.0 O+15.0


D.C.

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 11-Sep-08 13-Sep-08 600 4.0 82.0 13.0 O+69.0


Florida

27 Electoral votes, 12 polls Obama: 94.7% wins (94651 wins ), McCain: 5.3% wins (5349 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Datamar 25-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 630 3.9 49.2 44.4 O+4.8
Suffolk U. 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.0 49.0 44.0 O+5.0
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 603 4.1 47.2 46.9 O+0.3
Insider Advantage 22-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 562 4.5 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
Research 2000 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Strategic Vision 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 1200 3.0 46.0 48.0 M+2.0
Miami Herald 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 800 3.5 49.0 42.0 O+7.0
Mason-Dixon 20-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 625 4.0 45.0 46.0 M+1.0
Rasmussen 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1000 3.0 48.0 49.0 M+1.0
Quinnipiac 16-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 1433 2.6 49.0 44.0 O+5.0
Public Policy Polling 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1158 2.9 48.0 47.0 O+1.0


Georgia

15 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 7.0% wins (6992 wins ), McCain: 93.0% wins (93008 wins ). 2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
PollPosition 23-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 615 3.8 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
Mason-Dixon 22-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 625 4.0 43.0 49.0 M+6.0
Rasmussen 22-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 500 4.5 46.0 51.0 M+5.0
Strategic Vision 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 800 3.5 45.0 51.0 M+6.0
Democracy Corps 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 600 4.0 44.0 46.0 M+2.0


Hawaii

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 23-Sep-08 23-Sep-08 500 4.5 68.0 27.0 O+41.0


Idaho

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 16-Sep-08 17-Sep-08 500 4.5 33.0 62.0 M+29.0


Illinois

21 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 20-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 800 3.5 59.0 35.0 O+24.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 572 5.2 61.2 31.6 O+29.6
Chicago Tribune 16-Oct-08 18-Oct-08 500 4.4 56.0 32.0 O+24.0


Indiana

11 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 81.2% wins (81219 wins ), McCain: 18.8% wins (18781 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 601 4.1 44.0 50.2 M+6.2
SurveyUSA 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 49.0 45.0 O+4.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 586 5.2 51.0 41.5 O+9.5
Public Policy Polling 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1411 2.6 48.0 46.0 O+2.0


Iowa

7 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 23-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 500 4.5 52.0 44.0 O+8.0
Marist 22-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 645 4.0 52.0 42.0 O+10.0
Mason-Dixon 22-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 625 4.0 51.0 40.0 O+11.0
Research 2000 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 54.0 39.0 O+15.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 586 5.2 52.4 39.1 O+13.3


Kansas

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 1.4% wins (1399 wins ), McCain: 98.6% wins (98601 wins ). 2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 613 4.0 41.0 53.0 M+12.0


Kentucky

8 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (29 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (99971 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 21-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 500 4.5 44.0 52.0 M+8.0
Research 2000 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 600 4.0 39.0 55.0 M+16.0
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 535 4.3 41.0 54.0 M+13.0


Louisiana

9 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.5% wins (521 wins ), McCain: 99.5% wins (99479 wins ). 2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 21-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 500 4.5 41.0 57.0 M+16.0


Maine

4 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 19-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 642 3.9 54.0 39.0 O+15.0
Critical Insights 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 443 4.7 56.0 35.0 O+21.0


Maryland

10 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 20-Sep-08 20-Sep-08 500 4.5 60.0 37.0 O+23.0


Massachusetts

12 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.8% wins (99833 wins ), McCain: 0.2% wins (167 wins ). 2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Suffolk U. 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 400 4.9 53.0 34.0 O+19.0


Michigan

17 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
EPIC/MRA 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 400 4.9 51.0 37.0 O+14.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 562 5.2 58.1 35.8 O+22.3


Minnesota

10 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 22-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 500 4.5 56.0 41.0 O+15.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 583 5.2 57.3 37.9 O+19.4
St. Cloud State 14-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 509 4.6 42.0 37.0 O+5.0
National Journal 16-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 402 4.9 50.0 40.0 O+10.0
SurveyUSA 16-Oct-08 18-Oct-08 655 3.9 50.0 44.0 O+6.0


Mississippi

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 1.8% wins (1757 wins ), McCain: 98.2% wins (98243 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Univ. S. Alabama 13-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 405 5.0 33.0 46.0 M+13.0


Missouri

11 Electoral votes, 8 polls Obama: 84.9% wins (84907 wins ), McCain: 15.1% wins (15093 wins ). 2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 25-Oct-08 27-Oct-08 672 3.9 48.0 48.0 0.0
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.1 48.2 45.7 O+2.5
Mason-Dixon 22-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 625 4.0 45.0 46.0 M+1.0
Research 2000 20-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 800 3.5 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
Rasmussen 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1000 3.0 49.0 44.0 O+5.0
Suffolk U. 17-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 600 4.0 44.0 45.0 M+1.0
Rasmussen 17-Oct-08 17-Oct-08 700 4.0 52.0 46.0 O+6.0


Montana

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 72.5% wins (72472 wins ), McCain: 27.5% wins (27528 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
MSU-Billings 16-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 403 5.0 44.0 40.0 O+4.0


Nebraska

5 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.1% wins (124 wins ), McCain: 99.9% wins (99876 wins ). 2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 30-Sep-08 30-Sep-08 500 4.5 37.0 56.0 M+19.0


Nevada

5 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 83.2% wins (83196 wins ), McCain: 16.8% wins (16804 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 601 4.1 48.2 44.0 O+4.2
CNN 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 700 3.5 51.0 46.0 O+5.0
InsiderAdvantage 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 690 3.6 47.0 47.0 0.0


New Hampshire

4 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
UNH 24-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 698 3.7 55.0 39.0 O+16.0
Rasmussen 23-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 700 4.0 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Marist 22-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 645 4.0 50.0 45.0 O+5.0
UNH 18-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 725 3.5 54.0 39.0 O+15.0
Research 2000 17-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 600 4.0 50.0 43.0 O+7.0


New Jersey

15 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Marist 20-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 628 4.0 56.0 39.0 O+17.0
Quinnipiac 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1184 2.9 59.0 36.0 O+23.0


New Mexico

5 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.2% wins (99227 wins ), McCain: 0.8% wins (773 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 13-Oct-08 13-Oct-08 700 4.0 55.0 42.0 O+13.0


New York

31 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Marist 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 527 4.5 65.0 29.0 O+36.0
Siena 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 721 --- 62.0 31.0 O+31.0


North Carolina

15 Electoral votes, 11 polls Obama: 91.1% wins (91120 wins ), McCain: 8.9% wins (8880 wins ). 2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 48.0 49.0 M+1.0
Public Policy Polling 25-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1038 2.8 49.0 48.0 O+1.0
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 601 4.1 49.7 46.4 O+3.3
Rasmussen 23-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 700 4.0 48.0 50.0 M+2.0
WSOC-TV 20-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 500 4.5 48.4 46.4 O+2.0
CNN 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 644 4.0 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 627 4.0 49.0 48.0 O+1.0
Civitas 18-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 600 4.0 48.0 45.0 O+3.0
InsiderAdvantage 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 698 3.6 47.0 47.0 0.0
Rasmussen 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1000 3.0 51.0 48.0 O+3.0
Public Policy Polling 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1200 2.8 51.0 44.0 O+7.0


North Dakota

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 50.0% wins (50013 wins ), McCain: 50.0% wins (49987 wins ). 2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 14-Oct-08 16-Oct-08 600 4.0 45.0 45.0 0.0


Ohio

20 Electoral votes, 11 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 49.0 45.0 O+4.0
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.1 49.7 45.1 O+4.6
Public Policy Polling 21-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 993 3.1 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
Insider Advantage 22-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 408 5.0 52.0 42.0 O+10.0
Strategic Vision 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 1200 3.0 45.0 48.0 M+3.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 564 5.2 52.5 41.0 O+11.5
CNN 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 635 3.5 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Ohio Poll 18-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 886 3.3 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Rasmussen 19-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 1000 3.0 47.0 49.0 M+2.0
Quinnipiac 16-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 1360 2.7 52.0 38.0 O+14.0
Suffolk U. 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 600 4.0 51.0 42.0 O+9.0


Oklahoma

7 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
TVPOLL 24-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 720 3.5 34.8 61.6 M+26.8
TVPOLL 19-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 763 3.5 32.4 63.7 M+31.3
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 561 4.2 35.0 59.0 M+24.0


Oregon

7 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (99976 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (24 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 25-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 672 3.8 57.0 38.0 O+19.0


Pennsylvania

21 Electoral votes, 9 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Muhlenberg 21-Oct-08 25-Oct-08 594 4.0 52.0 41.0 O+11.0
Temple U. 20-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 761 4.0 50.0 41.0 O+9.0
SurveyUSA 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 620 4.0 52.0 41.0 O+11.0
Strategic Vision 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 1200 3.0 50.0 43.0 O+7.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 566 5.2 51.9 41.5 O+10.4
Quinnipiac 16-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 1425 2.6 53.0 40.0 O+13.0
National Journal 16-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 412 4.9 51.0 41.0 O+10.0
Muhlenberg 16-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 600 4.0 52.0 42.0 O+10.0
Susquehanna 16-Oct-08 18-Oct-08 700 3.7 48.0 40.0 O+8.0


Rhode Island

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.9% wins (99852 wins ), McCain: 0.1% wins (148 wins ). 2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rhode Island College 17-Sep-08 24-Sep-08 742 3.6 45.0 31.0 O+14.0


South Carolina

8 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 3.9% wins (3874 wins ), McCain: 96.1% wins (96126 wins ). 2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 20-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 500 4.5 43.0 54.0 M+11.0


South Dakota

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 5.2% wins (5178 wins ), McCain: 94.8% wins (94822 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 22-Oct-08 24-Oct-08 600 4.0 41.0 50.0 M+9.0


Tennessee

11 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.2% wins (187 wins ), McCain: 99.8% wins (99813 wins ). 2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 38.0 54.0 M+16.0


Texas

34 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 5.9% wins (5879 wins ), McCain: 94.1% wins (94121 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 21-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 500 4.5 44.0 54.0 M+10.0


Utah

5 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 10-Sep-08 13-Sep-08 600 4.0 29.0 65.0 M+36.0


Vermont

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (99959 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (41 wins ). 2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 400 4.9 57.0 36.0 O+21.0


Virginia

13 Electoral votes, 9 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 1000 3.5 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
SurveyUSA 25-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 671 3.9 52.0 43.0 O+9.0
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.1 52.0 44.8 O+7.2
Washington Post 22-Oct-08 25-Oct-08 784 3.5 52.0 44.0 O+8.0
Public Policy Polling 21-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 1231 2.8 51.0 43.0 O+8.0
VCU 20-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 817 4.0 51.0 40.0 O+11.0
Mason-Dixon 20-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 625 4.0 47.0 45.0 O+2.0
CNN 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 647 4.0 54.0 44.0 O+10.0
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 652 3.8 51.0 45.0 O+6.0


Washington

11 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Washington Poll 18-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.0 55.0 34.0 O+21.0
Rasmussen 22-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 500 4.5 54.0 43.0 O+11.0
Elway Research 16-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 405 5.0 55.0 36.0 O+19.0


West Virginia

5 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (48 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (99952 wins ). 2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Zogby 23-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 600 4.1 40.4 50.3 M+9.9
Research 2000 22-Oct-08 24-Oct-08 600 4.0 43.0 49.0 M+6.0
Wesleyan 20-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 600 4.0 43.5 49.2 M+5.7
CNN 19-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 674 4.0 44.0 53.0 M+9.0
Rasmussen 20-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 500 4.5 43.0 52.0 M+9.0


Wisconsin

10 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 23-Oct-08 23-Oct-08 500 4.5 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
Research 2000 21-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 600 4.0 52.0 41.0 O+11.0
Big Ten 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 584 5.2 52.9 40.5 O+12.4
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 641 3.9 51.0 43.0 O+8.0
National Journal 16-Oct-08 20-Oct-08 405 4.9 53.0 40.0 O+13.0


Wyoming

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 18-Oct-08 19-Oct-08 604 4.0 37.0 58.0 M+21.0