Obama versus McCain using polls from 04-Mar-08 to 04-Nov-08


Alabama

9 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 650 3.8 36.0 61.0 M+25.0


Alaska

3 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Hays Research 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 400 4.9 44.6 48.3 M+3.7
ARG 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 600 4.0 43.0 55.0 M+12.0
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 39.0 58.0 M+19.0
Rasmussen 28-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 500 4.5 41.0 57.0 M+16.0


Arizona

10 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 26.2% wins (26223 wins ), McCain: 73.8% wins (73777 wins ). 2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 46.0 50.0 M+4.0
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 47.0 48.0 M+1.0


Arkansas

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 10.5% wins (10518 wins ), McCain: 89.5% wins (89482 wins ). 2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 28-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 600 4.0 44.0 51.0 M+7.0


California

55 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 637 3.9 60.0 36.0 O+24.0


Colorado

9 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Mason-Dixon 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 625 4.0 49.0 44.0 O+5.0
ARG 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 52.0 45.0 O+7.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 2023 2.2 54.0 44.0 O+10.0


Connecticut

7 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
U. Conn. 18-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 502 4.4 56.0 31.0 O+25.0


Delaware

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 657 3.8 63.0 33.0 O+30.0


D.C.

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 11-Sep-08 13-Sep-08 600 4.0 82.0 13.0 O+69.0


Florida

27 Electoral votes, 11 polls Obama: 84.8% wins (84768 wins ), McCain: 15.2% wins (15232 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 49.0 50.0 M+1.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 678 3.8 49.2 48.0 O+1.2
SurveyUSA 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 691 3.8 50.0 47.0 O+3.0
Datamar 01-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 657 3.8 47.0 48.2 M+1.2
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1200 3.0 49.0 47.0 O+2.0
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1717 2.4 50.0 48.0 O+2.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 603 4.1 47.5 46.2 O+1.3
Quinnipiac 27-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1773 2.3 47.0 45.0 O+2.0
ARG 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 600 4.0 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Datamar 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 995 3.1 47.0 47.0 0.0
Mason-Dixon 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 625 4.0 47.0 45.0 O+2.0


Georgia

15 Electoral votes, 6 polls Obama: 4.8% wins (4752 wins ), McCain: 95.2% wins (95248 wins ). 2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 800 3.0 46.0 50.0 M+4.0
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1253 2.8 48.0 50.0 M+2.0
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 683 3.8 45.0 52.0 M+7.0
Insider Advantage 31-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 637 3.8 47.0 48.0 M+1.0
Rasmussen 30-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 500 4.5 47.0 52.0 M+5.0
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 44.0 47.0 M+3.0


Hawaii

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 23-Sep-08 23-Sep-08 500 4.5 68.0 27.0 O+41.0


Idaho

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Harstad 19-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 503 4.4 32.0 55.0 M+23.0


Illinois

21 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (99973 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (27 wins ). 2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 01-Nov-08 01-Nov-08 500 4.5 60.0 38.0 O+22.0


Indiana

11 Electoral votes, 6 polls Obama: 32.6% wins (32600 wins ), McCain: 67.4% wins (67400 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 585 4.1 45.1 50.4 M+5.3
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 2634 1.9 49.0 48.0 O+1.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 603 4.1 43.9 49.1 M+5.2
ARG 28-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 600 4.0 48.0 48.0 0.0
Rasmussen 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 500 4.5 46.0 49.0 M+3.0
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 900 3.5 47.0 47.0 0.0


Iowa

7 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Des Moines Register 28-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 814 3.4 54.0 37.0 O+17.0
SurveyUSA 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 658 3.9 55.0 40.0 O+15.0
Research 2000 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.0 53.0 39.0 O+14.0


Kansas

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 626 3.9 37.0 58.0 M+21.0


Kentucky

8 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 01-Nov-08 616 4.0 40.0 56.0 M+16.0
Rasmussen 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 500 4.5 43.0 55.0 M+12.0
Mason-Dixon 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 817 3.4 40.7 52.7 M+12.0
Research 2000 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.0 39.0 56.0 M+17.0


Louisiana

9 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 30.3% wins (30270 wins ), McCain: 69.7% wins (69730 wins ). 2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Loyola U 24-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 474 4.5 40.0 43.0 M+3.0


Maine

4 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (99995 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (5 wins ). 2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 01-Nov-08 01-Nov-08 500 4.5 56.0 43.0 O+13.0
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 674 3.6 58.0 38.0 O+20.0


Maryland

10 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 20-Sep-08 20-Sep-08 500 4.5 60.0 37.0 O+23.0


Massachusetts

12 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.9% wins (99917 wins ), McCain: 0.1% wins (83 wins ). 2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 658 3.9 56.0 39.0 O+17.0


Michigan

17 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Mitchell Interactive 03-Nov-08 03-Nov-08 400 5.0 54.0 38.0 O+16.0
Detroit Free Press 28-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 616 4.0 53.0 37.0 O+16.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 1532 2.5 55.0 42.0 O+13.0
Strategic Vision 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 1200 3.0 54.0 41.0 O+13.0
Rasmussen 28-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 500 4.5 53.0 43.0 O+10.0


Minnesota

10 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 01-Nov-08 669 3.9 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Star-Tribune 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 933 4.1 53.0 42.0 O+11.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 1050 3.0 57.0 41.0 O+16.0
Research 2000 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.0 53.0 38.0 O+15.0
Rasmussen 28-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 500 4.5 55.0 43.0 O+12.0


Mississippi

6 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 1.1% wins (1114 wins ), McCain: 98.9% wins (98886 wins ). 2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 40.0 53.0 M+13.0


Missouri

11 Electoral votes, 8 polls Obama: 43.4% wins (43412 wins ), McCain: 56.6% wins (56588 wins ). 2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 49.0 49.0 0.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 585 4.1 48.8 48.8 0.0
Public Policy Polling 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1343 2.7 49.0 49.0 0.0
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 674 3.9 48.0 48.0 0.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 602 4.1 47.4 45.7 O+1.7
ARG 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 48.0 48.0 0.0
Insider Advantage 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 641 3.7 47.0 50.0 M+3.0
Mason-Dixon 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 625 4.0 46.0 47.0 M+1.0


Montana

3 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 35.4% wins (35394 wins ), McCain: 64.6% wins (64606 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 2734 1.9 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
ARG 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 46.0 49.0 M+3.0
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 44.0 48.0 M+4.0
Rasmussen 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 500 4.5 46.0 50.0 M+4.0


Nebraska

5 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.2% wins (201 wins ), McCain: 99.8% wins (99799 wins ). 2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 30-Sep-08 30-Sep-08 500 4.5 37.0 56.0 M+19.0


Nevada

5 Electoral votes, 5 polls Obama: 99.6% wins (99579 wins ), McCain: 0.4% wins (421 wins ). 2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 600 4.0 52.0 47.0 O+5.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 586 4.1 53.2 42.4 O+10.8
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1243 2.8 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 601 4.1 50.7 42.9 O+7.8
Mason-Dixon 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 625 4.0 47.0 43.0 O+4.0


New Hampshire

4 Electoral votes, 7 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
UNH/WMUR 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 549 4.2 52.0 41.0 O+11.0
Rasmussen 30-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 700 4.0 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 682 3.6 53.0 42.0 O+11.0
ARG 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 56.0 41.0 O+15.0
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
Strategic Vision 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 800 3.5 50.0 41.0 O+9.0
Suffolk U. 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.0 53.0 40.0 O+13.0


New Jersey

15 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 500 4.5 57.0 42.0 O+15.0
Monmouth U. 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 801 3.5 55.0 34.0 O+21.0
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 632 4.0 52.0 42.0 O+10.0


New Mexico

5 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 664 3.9 52.0 45.0 O+7.0
Journal Poll 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 659 --- 51.0 43.0 O+8.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 1537 2.5 58.0 41.0 O+17.0
Rasmussen 28-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 500 4.5 54.0 44.0 O+10.0


New York

31 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 27-Oct-08 28-Oct-08 633 3.8 62.0 33.0 O+29.0


North Carolina

15 Electoral votes, 12 polls Obama: 68.6% wins (68614 wins ), McCain: 31.4% wins (31386 wins ). 2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 49.0 50.0 M+1.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 585 4.1 49.1 49.5 M+0.4
ARG 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 600 4.0 49.0 48.0 O+1.0
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 2100 2.1 50.0 49.0 O+1.0
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 682 3.8 48.0 49.0 M+1.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 600 4.1 47.7 49.3 M+1.6
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 600 4.0 47.0 45.0 O+2.0
Insider Advantage 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 814 3.4 48.0 48.0 0.0
Rasmussen 29-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 700 4.0 50.0 48.0 O+2.0
Elon 27-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 797 3.5 45.0 38.0 O+7.0
Mason-Dixon 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 625 4.0 46.0 49.0 M+3.0
Civitas 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.2 47.0 46.0 O+1.0


North Dakota

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 43.3% wins (43295 wins ), McCain: 56.7% wins (56705 wins ). 2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 500 4.5 46.0 47.0 M+1.0


Ohio

20 Electoral votes, 9 polls Obama: 96.7% wins (96698 wins ), McCain: 3.3% wins (3302 wins ). 2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 49.0 49.0 0.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 687 3.8 49.4 47.4 O+2.0
SurveyUSA 01-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 660 3.9 48.0 46.0 O+2.0
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1200 3.0 46.0 48.0 M+2.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 605 4.1 50.2 43.9 O+6.3
Public Policy Polling 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1208 2.8 50.0 48.0 O+2.0
Ohio Poll 29-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1308 2.7 52.0 46.0 O+6.0
Quinnipiac 27-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1574 2.5 50.0 43.0 O+7.0
Mason-Dixon 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 625 4.0 45.0 47.0 M+2.0


Oklahoma

7 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 594 4.0 34.0 63.0 M+29.0


Oregon

7 Electoral votes, 4 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 30-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 500 4.5 54.0 42.0 O+12.0
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 700 3.7 57.0 38.0 O+19.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 1424 2.6 57.0 42.0 O+15.0
Research 2000 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 600 4.0 55.0 39.0 O+16.0


Pennsylvania

21 Electoral votes, 12 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 682 3.8 51.2 41.4 O+9.8
SurveyUSA 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 657 3.9 52.0 43.0 O+9.0
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1200 4.0 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1529 2.5 53.0 45.0 O+8.0
Rasmussen 01-Nov-08 01-Nov-08 500 4.5 52.0 46.0 O+6.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 602 4.1 53.7 40.0 O+13.7
Muhlenberg 29-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 617 4.0 52.0 46.0 O+6.0
Quinnipiac 27-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1493 2.5 52.0 42.0 O+10.0
SurveyUSA 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 700 3.8 51.0 44.0 O+7.0
ARG 29-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 600 4.0 51.0 45.0 O+6.0
Rasmussen 30-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 500 4.5 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Strategic Vision 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 1200 3.0 49.0 44.0 O+5.0


Rhode Island

4 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 100.0% wins (99963 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (37 wins ). 2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rhode Island College 17-Sep-08 24-Sep-08 742 3.6 45.0 31.0 O+14.0


South Carolina

8 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 7.2% wins (7235 wins ), McCain: 92.8% wins (92765 wins ). 2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
SurveyUSA 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 654 3.9 44.0 52.0 M+8.0


South Dakota

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 8.1% wins (8074 wins ), McCain: 91.9% wins (91926 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 30-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 500 4.5 44.0 53.0 M+9.0


Tennessee

11 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.2% wins (202 wins ), McCain: 99.8% wins (99798 wins ). 2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 21-Oct-08 22-Oct-08 600 4.0 38.0 54.0 M+16.0


Texas

34 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 6.1% wins (6055 wins ), McCain: 93.9% wins (93945 wins ). 2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 21-Oct-08 21-Oct-08 500 4.5 44.0 54.0 M+10.0


Utah

5 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Deseret News 24-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 1205 2.9 32.0 57.0 M+25.0


Vermont

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 99.8% wins (99817 wins ), McCain: 0.2% wins (183 wins ). 2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 26-Oct-08 26-Oct-08 400 4.9 57.0 36.0 O+21.0


Virginia

13 Electoral votes, 7 polls Obama: 99.8% wins (99783 wins ), McCain: 0.2% wins (217 wins ). 2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Rasmussen 02-Nov-08 02-Nov-08 1000 3.0 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Zogby 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 690 3.8 51.7 45.3 O+6.4
ARG 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 600 4.0 51.0 47.0 O+4.0
Public Policy Polling 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 1557 2.5 52.0 46.0 O+6.0
Zogby 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 604 4.1 50.7 44.6 O+6.1
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 01-Nov-08 672 3.9 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Mason-Dixon 29-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 625 4.0 47.0 44.0 O+3.0


Washington

11 Electoral votes, 3 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 800 3.0 55.0 40.0 O+15.0
SurveyUSA 30-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 663 3.9 56.0 40.0 O+16.0
Washington Poll 27-Oct-08 31-Oct-08 387 5.0 51.0 39.0 O+12.0


West Virginia

5 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
ARG 31-Oct-08 03-Nov-08 600 4.0 42.0 53.0 M+11.0
Public Policy Polling 28-Oct-08 30-Oct-08 2128 2.1 42.0 55.0 M+13.0


Wisconsin

10 Electoral votes, 2 polls Obama: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ), McCain: 0.0% wins (0 wins ). 2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Strategic Vision 31-Oct-08 02-Nov-08 800 4.0 53.0 40.0 O+13.0
SurveyUSA 28-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 667 3.9 55.0 39.0 O+16.0


Wyoming

3 Electoral votes, 1 poll Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), McCain: 100.0% wins (100000 wins ). 2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama McCain Diff
Research 2000 27-Oct-08 29-Oct-08 500 4.5 36.0 61.0 M+25.0