Tuesday, October 28, 2008 at 8:33 pm by Darryl
There were 21 new polls from 17 states in the race between Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. John McCain released today. The polls are a mixed bag.
There were six new senatorial polls and a couple of gubernatorial released today, too.
|New Jersey||Strategic Vision||24-Oct||26-Oct||800||3.0||53||38||O+15|
Arkansas puts McCain over Obama by a moderate +10%. There is a slight tightening of this race over the past month, but not enough for Obama to be a serious threat.
Florida gives Obama a +7% lead over McCain today. Obama strengthens his position from a slightly older poll from Rasmussen that gave Obama a fragile +4%, and a Datamar poll that offered Obama a +4.8% edge:
In Georgia, McCain has a slight +1% (48% to 47%) lead over Obama. The previous poll, by PollPosition put Obama over McCain by+1%. Whodathunk!!!
In Indiana, Obama leads by +1% in one poll and McCain leads by +2% in another (the polls are the same size). poll from Zogby gives McCain a +6.2% lead over Obama. It looks close but with a small edge for McCain:
Louisiana supports McCain over Obama by +12.3%. This is slightly narrower than the previous poll, by Rasmussen, that gave McCain a +16%.
Maine has Obama up by +19.1% over McCain today. Mississippi gives McCain a reasonable +8% lead over Obama.
In Montana, McCain leads Obama by a rather weak +4%. The previous poll, by MSU-Billings, gave Obama the +4%. And before that, a poll from Research 2000 , gave the +4% to McCain. Overall, though, McCain has the edge:
In Nevada, Obama has a +10% lead in one poll and a +4% lead in the other:
New Hampshire gives Obama a reasonable lead over McCain by +11%. A newer poll from UNH supports Obama with a +16% lead.
In New Jersey, Obama leads McCain by a solid +15%.
Ohio offers Obama a +4% edge in one poll and a +9% in another. Obama now has six consecutive leads in a row:
Pennsylvania gives Obama a moderate lead of +9% in one poll and a modest-er lead of +7% in the other. Obama has led in every one of the 20 October polls.
Virginia has Obama up by a reasonable +9% over McCain, but there are four newer (previously reported) polls. This makes 19 consecutive leads for Obama:
In Wisconsin, Obama leads McCain by +9%. Overall Wisconsin looks pretty solid for Obama.
|New Jersey||Strategic Vision||24-Oct||26-Oct||800||3.0||49||41||D+8|
The Georgia race is between Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and Jim Martin (D). Chambliss takes another +2% lead over Martin:
The Louisiana race is between Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) and John Kennedy (R). Landrieu has a solid +19.3% edge over Kennedy today.
The Maine race is between Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Tom Allen (D), and Collins holds a solid lead of +17.4%.
The Mississippi race is between Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and Ronnie Musgrove (D). Wicker has a decent +11% lead over Musgrove. The close race of September and early October is gone:
The New Jersey race is between Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and Dick Zimmer (R).
New Jersey gives Frank Lautenberg a fair +8% (49% to 41%) lead over Dick Zimmer.
The Virginia race between Jim Gilmore (R) and Mark Warner (D) is over. Warner is up by +35% today.
|North Carolina||Public Policy Polling||25-Oct||26-Oct||1038||2.8||47||44||D+3|
The Indiana race is between Gov. Mitchell Daniels Jr (R) and Jill Long Thompson (D). Daniels is in a very strong position in all recent polling. Today’s +31% seals the deal.
The North Carolina race is between Bev Perdue (D) and Pat McCrory (R), and has Perdue up by +3% today. The previous poll, by Rasmussen had McCrory up by +4%. This race is a little crazy close: