Independence Day Head-to-head Polls

There are a few new state head-to-head polls to report on today:

In Washington state, Sen. Barack Obama leads Sen. John McCain 47% to 39%. The +8% lead is Obama’s smallest of June. The earlier three June polls all gave Obama at least an +15% lead.

Yet another Georgia poll—the third this week. This one finds McCain squeaking by Obama, 46% to 43%, with 4% going for former Georgia Congressman and current Libertarian presidential candidate Bob Barr. The four June polls give McCain an average of about +7%.

In Pennsylvania, Obama leads McCain 42% to 36% in this mid- to late-June poll. This gives Obama a total of eight polls in a row in which he leads McCain—essentially, every poll taken since late April.

Rhode Island is still blue in this latest poll. Obama leads McCain 53% to 25%. The only other Rhode Island polls this year were taken by in Feburary. A SurveyUSA poll in late February gave Obama a 53% to 38% lead, and an early February Brown University poll gave Obama a 42% to 30% lead over McCain.

A new Monte Carlo analysis is forthcoming.

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