Hominid Views

The end of the year also brings another fundraising quarter to an end.
Darcy Burner could sure use your last minute, end-o-the-year contribution. If you can help, click here.

It’s too bad, really…Romney’s behavior is likely to sink him. I had hoped Romney would get the G.O.P. nomination. After all, he is the weakest Republican front runner in head-to-head match-ups with each Democratic front runner.
A.P. political writer Glen Johnson offers a stinging review of Mitt [...]

Just yesterday I was discussing with my brother-in-law the possibility of Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld being charged with crimes against humanity or war crimes after the end of this administration. Then this morning, I see this article:

“We’re planning to arrest, detain and extradite him,” said Kurt Daims of Brattleboro, an activist who [...]

Headzup: Waterboarding Olympics.
Huckabee kills those who don’t vote for him in Iowa (via Crooks and Liars).
King County Executive Ron Sims at TrailLink 2007

Part I
Part II
Part III:
Part IV

Josh Marshall’s Primary round-up (via TalkingPointsMemo).
CNN: Gitmo detainee freed.
Giuliani striken.
Music video: The Rich Republican.
Headzup: Profiles in obstructionism.
Does Chris Matthews have truthiness issues?
Bush v. Congress (via Crooks and Liars).
Political [...]

“Merry Christmas and stay on your own side!”
From the AP:

Greek Orthodox and Armenian priests attacked each other with brooms and stones inside the Church of the Nativity as long-standing rivalries erupted in violence during holiday cleaning on Thursday.
The basilica, built over the grotto in Bethlehem where Christians believe Jesus was born, is administered jointly by [...]

Clinton
McCain

Wins 91.7%
Wins 7.8%

Mean of 293 electoral votes
Mean of 245 electoral votes

There were four new polls released today that weigh in on this match-up. An analysis of 10,000 simulated elections four days ago showed McCain with only a 4% chance of winning. With the [...]

Clinton
Huckabee

Wins 100.0%
Wins 0.0%

Mean of 336 electoral votes
Mean of 202 electoral votes

It has been about a week since I’ve last analyzed this race, and there have been numerous new polls (including today’s batch).
A week ago Huckabee lost all 10,000 simulated elections as he does today. He only [...]

Following a break for the holidays, some pollsters divulged the result of mid-December polls today. I’ll briefly write about the polls in this post and then separately publish a few individual analyses of individual match-ups, as time permits this evening.
There were five new polls released today—a couple came with surprises:

Rasmussen poll from [...]

Just to show that I am not a dog-tag-wearing soldier in the “secular progressive war on Christmas,” I’ll compromise and use this holiday greeting.

Here is some local fall-out from eight years of failed Republican leadership:

Microsoft has the largest political action committee of any computer or Internet company in the country. In 2005 and 2006, it gave Republicans 58 percent of its $832,000 in campaign contributions. Right now, Microsoft is giving 59 percent of contributions to Democrats.
T-Mobile, the Bellevue [...]

I was way, way ahead of the NY Times on this one:

There was the period last spring when Mitt Romney claimed while campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire that he had been a hunter “pretty much all my life,” only to have to admit later he had seriously hunted on only two occasions.
Then there was [...]

Obama
Romney

Wins 100.0%
Wins 0.0%

Mean of 375 electoral votes
Mean of 163 electoral votes

My previous analysis of this race was nine days and dozens of polls ago. Then, as now, Obama wins in a landslide 100% of the time.
Romney has made a tiny bit of headway, however. [...]

Clinton
McCain

Wins 95.5%
Wins 4.0%

Mean of 299 electoral votes
Mean of 239 electoral votes

There were three new polls released on Friday, all from liberal states:

SurveyUSA poll in California.
SurveyUSA poll in Massachusetts.
SurveyUSA poll in New York.

The polls contain no real surprises.
My previous analysis of this race found McCain with [...]

Bushed! Another three Bush administration scandals.
The Pinky Show on “Illegal immigration”:

Headzup: George Bush on abstenance only education.
ONN: The disparity of Christmas.
The Christmas Warrior File

Dan Abrams with Beat the Bill-O.
Olbermann on Bill-O delusional War on Christmas™ (with stand-up shtick by Dana Milbank).
Bill-O, once again, earns the title Worst Person in the World!
Self satire: Bill-O gets [...]

Clinton
Giuliani

Wins 100.0%
Wins 0.0%

Mean of 339 electoral votes
Mean of 199 electoral votes

Today brought us five new state head-to-head polls:

SurveyUSA poll in Alabama
SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky
SurveyUSA poll in Kansas
SurveyUSA poll in Virginia
Field poll in California

Kansas and Alabama offer no surprises, with the Republican winning in every match-up. In [...]