Category Archive for 'Poll analysis'

Poll Analysis: Rossi Leads Murray

Thursday, September 2nd, 2010

A new Rasmussen poll was released today in the Washington Senate race between Sen. Patty Murray (D) and real estate speculator Dino Rossi. The poll of 750 likely voters taken on 31 Aug shows Rossi leading Murray 48% to 46%.
As usual, I’ll do a Monte Carlo analysis of the poll [...]

Two New Polls in the WA Senate Race

Sunday, August 22nd, 2010

The winners of Tuesday’s top-two primary for the Washington state Senate race were Sen. Patty Murray (D) and real estate speculator (and perennial candidate) Dino Rossi (R). Little surprise there. Late last week, Washingtonians got a double dose of post-primary polls matching up Murry and Rossi.
Rasmussen released this poll on [...]

Pollster Porn and Perfidy

Sunday, July 25th, 2010

What do you get when you take a former media consultant for Rep. (Mean) Jean Schmidt (R-OH) and turn him into a political pollster. Oh…a pollster whose primary client is WorldNetDaily (a.k.a. Birfer Central)?
Bountiful Birfer bullshit. Welcome to the Wenzel Strategy solution.
One of these days we need a [...]

Poll: Best and Worst Presidents

Thursday, July 1st, 2010

Siena College has a new poll out on who the best and worst presidents were (are). But the poll wasn’t administered to just anyone. Rather it was a survey of 238 presidential scholars.
Here are the top 10 Presidents:

F. Roosevelt
T. Roosevelt
Lincoln
Washington
Jefferson
Madison
Monroe
Wilson
Truman
Eisenhower

The top rankings are pretty stable:

“In nearly thirty years [but only five surveys], [...]

Wow!

Tuesday, June 29th, 2010

And I mean, just…Wow! Barring some really, really bizarre bug that rounds number pairs to odd or even, Research 2000 is toast. And even if such a bug is uncovered, they are probably toast anyway for not catching such a bug.
But that got me to thinking…
If Wingding Andrew [...]

Poll Analysis: Murray v. Rossi

Wednesday, June 16th, 2010

A new poll was released today in the Washington Senate race by Elway. The most interesting part of the poll was the head-to-head match-up between Sen. Patty Murray and perennial candidate and real estate salesperson Dino Rossi. Dino is, of course, best know as the loser to Christine Gregoire in the 2004 [...]

Poll Analysis: Expanded WA Poll Sample in Murray V. Rossi

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

This morning the Washington Poll released an expanded sample of their recent poll of Washington state voters. Their press release explains:

Last week (May 24) we released the results of an n=1252 survey, yet we continued to conduct additional surveys through Friday May 28th, and amassed a total of 1,695 interviews.

While there are some interesting [...]

Washington Poll: The Murray—Rossi Match-up

Monday, May 24th, 2010

Who will challenge Senator Patty Murray in the 2010 Washington state race? Real estate salesman Dino Rossi is the presumed frontrunner among the Republicans, despite the fact that he hasn’t declared his candidacy. He has been coy about it, but his speech last Friday before the Cascade Conference of Mainstream [...]

Poll Analysis: Sen. Patty Murray versus Dino Rossi

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

There were two new polls released today that offers head-to-head match-ups in the Washington Senate race. The incumbent, Sen. Patty Murray, leads in all the match-ups. Real estate salesman Dino Rossi is the strongest challenger in the Republican field, so I’ll just focus on that particular match-up. Rossi, who lost to [...]

SurveyUSA Poll has Rossi Leading Murray

Saturday, April 24th, 2010

Dino Rossi of the Prefers G.O.P. Party has been keeping Republicans on pins and needles over whether or not he will challenge third-term Senator Patty Murray (D-WA). Rumors on the street is that Rossi does not want to go to Washington, but the Republican leadership can’t find anyone better than the two-time [...]

Why People Disapprove of HCR

Monday, March 29th, 2010

In the two previous posts (here and here), I’ve claimed that some of the low-50ish percent of people who disapprove of the new health care reform law disapprove of it “from the left.” In other words some of those who tell pollsters that they are against the new law want a more progressive [...]

More HCR Turnaround

Monday, March 29th, 2010

Yesterday I pointed out that a new Washington Post poll hinted (rather strongly) at a incipient turn-around in the fortunes for Democrats following the passage of health care reform.
Today it is a new CNN poll that suggests the same thing. The poll shows Obama with an approval-disapproval spread of +5% (51% to [...]

HCR Turnaround?

Sunday, March 28th, 2010

It’s only been one week and there are signs that public opinion is shifting more to the side of those who passed health care reform. This new Washington Post poll is quite telling.
On Obama’s job approval, 53% approve and 43% disapprove. This is Obama’s best showing of the year. On health care [...]

Bullish on Good Health

Tuesday, March 23rd, 2010

That was quick! Even before it was signed into law, public opinion shifts in favor of health care reform:

Nearly half of Americans give a thumbs-up to Congress’ passage of a healthcare reform bill last weekend, with 49% calling it “a good thing.” Republicans and Democrats have polar opposite reactions, with independents evenly split.
The [...]

Unpacking the Polls

Saturday, March 13th, 2010

Obama’s pollster unpacks polling details that Republicans must find mighty inconvienent:
… a significant number of people who oppose current plans do so because they don’t go far enough rather than because they go too far. Not only is it absurd to suggest that these people would rise up against Democrats for passing the president’s plan, [...]

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