Category Archive for 'Poll analysis'
Thursday, September 2nd, 2010
A new Rasmussen poll was released today in the Washington Senate race between Sen. Patty Murray (D) and real estate speculator Dino Rossi. The poll of 750 likely voters taken on 31 Aug shows Rossi leading Murray 48% to 46%.
As usual, I’ll do a Monte Carlo analysis of the poll [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, Washington politics | 1 Comment »
Sunday, August 22nd, 2010
The winners of Tuesday’s top-two primary for the Washington state Senate race were Sen. Patty Murray (D) and real estate speculator (and perennial candidate) Dino Rossi (R). Little surprise there. Late last week, Washingtonians got a double dose of post-primary polls matching up Murry and Rossi.
Rasmussen released this poll on [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, Washington politics | 5 Comments »
Sunday, July 25th, 2010
What do you get when you take a former media consultant for Rep. (Mean) Jean Schmidt (R-OH) and turn him into a political pollster. Oh…a pollster whose primary client is WorldNetDaily (a.k.a. Birfer Central)?
Bountiful Birfer bullshit. Welcome to the Wenzel Strategy solution.
One of these days we need a [...]
Posted in Poll analysis | 2 Comments »
Thursday, July 1st, 2010
Siena College has a new poll out on who the best and worst presidents were (are). But the poll wasn’t administered to just anyone. Rather it was a survey of 238 presidential scholars.
Here are the top 10 Presidents:
F. Roosevelt
T. Roosevelt
Lincoln
Washington
Jefferson
Madison
Monroe
Wilson
Truman
Eisenhower
The top rankings are pretty stable:
“In nearly thirty years [but only five surveys], [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, attitude, politics | No Comments »
Tuesday, June 29th, 2010
And I mean, just…Wow! Barring some really, really bizarre bug that rounds number pairs to odd or even, Research 2000 is toast. And even if such a bug is uncovered, they are probably toast anyway for not catching such a bug.
But that got me to thinking…
If Wingding Andrew [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, police log, politics | 2 Comments »
Wednesday, June 16th, 2010
A new poll was released today in the Washington Senate race by Elway. The most interesting part of the poll was the head-to-head match-up between Sen. Patty Murray and perennial candidate and real estate salesperson Dino Rossi. Dino is, of course, best know as the loser to Christine Gregoire in the 2004 [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, Washington politics | No Comments »
Tuesday, June 1st, 2010
This morning the Washington Poll released an expanded sample of their recent poll of Washington state voters. Their press release explains:
Last week (May 24) we released the results of an n=1252 survey, yet we continued to conduct additional surveys through Friday May 28th, and amassed a total of 1,695 interviews.
While there are some interesting [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, Washington politics | No Comments »
Monday, May 24th, 2010
Who will challenge Senator Patty Murray in the 2010 Washington state race? Real estate salesman Dino Rossi is the presumed frontrunner among the Republicans, despite the fact that he hasn’t declared his candidacy. He has been coy about it, but his speech last Friday before the Cascade Conference of Mainstream [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, Washington politics, politics | 1 Comment »
Wednesday, May 5th, 2010
There were two new polls released today that offers head-to-head match-ups in the Washington Senate race. The incumbent, Sen. Patty Murray, leads in all the match-ups. Real estate salesman Dino Rossi is the strongest challenger in the Republican field, so I’ll just focus on that particular match-up. Rossi, who lost to [...]
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Saturday, April 24th, 2010
Dino Rossi of the Prefers G.O.P. Party has been keeping Republicans on pins and needles over whether or not he will challenge third-term Senator Patty Murray (D-WA). Rumors on the street is that Rossi does not want to go to Washington, but the Republican leadership can’t find anyone better than the two-time [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, politics | 3 Comments »
Monday, March 29th, 2010
In the two previous posts (here and here), I’ve claimed that some of the low-50ish percent of people who disapprove of the new health care reform law disapprove of it “from the left.” In other words some of those who tell pollsters that they are against the new law want a more progressive [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, politics | 2 Comments »
Monday, March 29th, 2010
Yesterday I pointed out that a new Washington Post poll hinted (rather strongly) at a incipient turn-around in the fortunes for Democrats following the passage of health care reform.
Today it is a new CNN poll that suggests the same thing. The poll shows Obama with an approval-disapproval spread of +5% (51% to [...]
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Sunday, March 28th, 2010
It’s only been one week and there are signs that public opinion is shifting more to the side of those who passed health care reform. This new Washington Post poll is quite telling.
On Obama’s job approval, 53% approve and 43% disapprove. This is Obama’s best showing of the year. On health care [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, politics | 1 Comment »
Tuesday, March 23rd, 2010
That was quick! Even before it was signed into law, public opinion shifts in favor of health care reform:
Nearly half of Americans give a thumbs-up to Congress’ passage of a healthcare reform bill last weekend, with 49% calling it “a good thing.” Republicans and Democrats have polar opposite reactions, with independents evenly split.
The [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, politics | 1 Comment »
Saturday, March 13th, 2010
Obama’s pollster unpacks polling details that Republicans must find mighty inconvienent:
… a significant number of people who oppose current plans do so because they don’t go far enough rather than because they go too far. Not only is it absurd to suggest that these people would rise up against Democrats for passing the president’s plan, [...]
Posted in Poll analysis, politics | 2 Comments »